DEFIANT

Overview

While climate models suggest Antarctic sea ice extent should also reduce in response to rising atmospheric CO2 concentraions, satellite observations reveal that during 1979-2015 the opposite was in fact true. The trend in Antarctic sea ice extent has been a small increase of approximately 1.5% per decade. In 2016, however, this increase was abruptly interrupted by a dramatic reduction in sea ice extent that was far outside the previously observed range. Since the extreme event in 2016, Antarctic sea ice extent has almost returned to its pre-2016 values, highlighting the significant variability in Antarctic sea ice conditions that can occur from one year to the next. These variations in sea ice are important to the whole Earth’s climate, because they affect the melting of the glacial Antarctic Ice Sheet, and the capture of atmospheric heat and CO2 by the Southern Ocean.
The recent extreme swings in Antarctic sea ice extent, and the challenge of accurately predicting, understanding and modelling them, emphasise the need to:
(i) increase our knowledge of the processes that drive Antarctic sea ice variations, including extreme events, and
(ii) understand the drivers and climate implications of Antarctic sea ice loss over different time-scales, from weeks to decades.
To address this knowledge gap requires a significant research programme, one that takes year-round observations, including throughout the harsh Antarctic winter, and is effective in improving the underlying processes in the latest computer climate models.
Our project, known as DEFIANT (Drivers and Effects of Fluctuations in sea Ice in the ANTarctic), will embark on one of the most ambitious observational campaigns aimed at understanding Antarctic sea ice variability. Scientific measurements from the German research ship RV Polarstern, the UK’s new polar research ship Sir David Attenborough, the British Antarctic Survey’s Rothera research station, aircraft overflights and satellites will work seamlessly together with cutting-edge robotic technologies (including the underwater vehicle Boaty McBoatface and a suite of on-ice buoys) to provide us with comprehensive, year-round measurements of atmosphere, sea ice and ocean. The knowledge gained from these observations will enable our team to develop new ocean and climate models in order to more accurately represent Antarctic sea ice processes.
The analysis of these improved models will allow us to better understand the underlying drivers of the sudden decrease in Antarctic sea ice, determine the impact of these extreme events on the global ocean circulation, and forecast the implications for the movements of heat and CO2 through the climate system. By developing new observations, new satellite records, and new models, DEFIANT will deliver a major advance in our understanding of the Antarctic sea ice system and its wider impacts on global climate.

Funders and Participants

DEFIANT is funded by the Natural Environment Research Council (NERC), part of UK Research and Innovation (UKRI), under the Highlight Topic entitled Drivers and climate implications of recent rapid loss of Antarctic sea ice. By their very nature Highlight topics We encourage multidisciplinary research and collaborations with other UK organisations. As well as with other international and non-academic collaborators.

DEFIANT project was co-designed and co-produced by a consortium of 8 UK Institutes

1. British Antarctic Survey (BAS): Lead Institute
2. National Oceanography Centre (NOC)
3. The Alan Turing Institute (ATI)
4. University College London (UCL: CPOM)
5. University of Leeds (UoL: CPOM)
6. University of Reading (UoR: CPOM)
7. University of Southampton (UoS)
8. UK Met Office (MetO)

Along with institute from
 Australia
 Canada
 Germany
 Europe: European Space Agency
 India
 Norway
 Spain
 USA