Scott Hosking

Environmental Data Scientist

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Scott Hosking

Environmental Data Scientist

Biography

As Science Leader and Head of the AI Lab at the British Antarctic Survey and Mission Director for the Environmental Forecasting Mission at The Alan Turing Institute, I lead a multidisciplinary team focused on pioneering the application of artificial intelligence and digital twin technologies to environmental forecasting and decision-making. Our work is especially relevant in data-sparse environments like the polar regions, where we develop innovative solutions to integrate diverse data sources, improve predictive modelling, and enhance our understanding of a rapidly changing planet.

Our projects are as diverse as the ecosystems we study. We’re merging data from satellites and ground sensors to create a real-time pulse of our planet, developing new machine learning algorithms to forecast our weather, and developing AI-powered tools to track wildlife populations and monitor environmental change. I’m particularly excited about our Antarctic Digital Twin programme, which aims to provide near-instantaneous insights for informed decision-making in this crucial region.

My journey has been fuelled by incredible collaborations, partnerships, and a dash of recognition along the way. Our research has been featured in Nature Communications, Nvidia, Wired Magazine and our group was acknowledged as an “AI for Good” exemplar by the UK government. But the most rewarding moments are witnessing the impact of our work – informing policies, shaping sustainable practices, and ultimately, giving our planet a voice through the power of AI.

There’s still so much to explore, and I’m excited to continue this journey, one digital twin at a time. If you share my passion for protecting our planet, let’s connect! I’m always eager to collaborate, share knowledge, and inspire others to join the fight for a sustainable future.

My website | Team | Publications

Research interests

Collaborations

Full publication list available here

Publications from NERC Open Research Archive

2025

Bowler, Ellen , Byrne, James , Leclerc, Lisa-Marie, Roberto-Charron, Amélie, Rogers, Martin S.J. , Cavanagh, Rachel D. , Harasimo, Jason, Lancaster, Melanie L., Chan, Ryan S.Y., Strickson, Oliver, Wilkinson, Jeremy , Downie, Rod, Hosking, J. Scott , Andersson, Tom R. . (2025) AI sea ice forecasts for Arctic conservation: A case study predicting the timing of caribou sea ice migrations. Ecological Solutions and Evidence, 6 (). 15 pp. 10.1002/2688-8319.70034

Rouse, Robert Edwin , Moss, Henry, Hosking, Scott , McRobie, Allan, Shuckburgh, Emily. (2025) Reflective error: a metric for assessing predictive performance at extreme events. Environmental Data Science, 4 (). 13 pp. doi:10.1017/eds.2025.16

Allen, Anna, Markou, Stratis, Tebbutt, Will, Requeima, James, Bruinsma, Wessel P., Andersson, Tom R. , Herzog, Michael , Lane, Nicholas D., Chantry, Matthew , Hosking, J. Scott , Turner, Richard E. . (2025) End-to-end data-driven weather prediction. Nature, (). 30 pp. doi:10.1038/s41586-025-08897-0

Williams, C. Rosie , Thodoroff, Pierre, Arthern, Robert J. , Byrne, James , Hosking, J. Scott , Kaiser, Markus, Lawrence, Neil D., Kazlauskaite, Ieva. (2025) Calculations of extreme sea level rise scenarios are strongly dependent on ice sheet model resolution. Communications Earth & Environment, 6 (). 14 pp. 10.1038/s43247-025-02010-z

Coca-Castro, Alejandro , Fouilloux, Anne , Barros Lourenço, Ricardo , McDonald, Andrew , Rao, Yuhan , Hosking, Scott . (2025) Improving the reproducibility in geoscientific papers: lessons learned from a Hackathon in climate science. Environmental Data Science, 4 (). 10 pp. doi:10.1017/eds.2024.35

Uebbing, Lars, Joakimsen, Harald L, Luppino, Luigi T., Martinsen, Iver, McDonald, Andrew, Wickstrøm, Kristoffer K., Lefèvre, Sébastien, Arnt-Børre, Salberg,, Hosking, Scott J. , Jenssen, Robert. (2025) Investigating the Impact of Feature Reduction for Deep Learning-based Seasonal Sea Ice Forecasting. In: 6th Northern Lights Deep Learning Conference (NLDL) UiT The Arctic University, Tromsø, Norway, 7-9 January 2025. ML Research Press.

Rouse, Robert Edwin , Khamis, Doran, Hosking, Scott , McRobie, Allan, Shuckburgh, Emily. (2025) Streamflow prediction using artificial neural networks and soil moisture proxies. Environmental Data Science, 4 (). 15 pp. 10.1017/eds.2024.48

2024

Tazi, Kenza , Orr, Andrew , Hernandez-González, Javier, Hosking, Scott , Turner, Richard E.. (2024) Downscaling precipitation over High-mountain Asia using multi-fidelity Gaussian processes: improved estimates from ERA5. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 28 (). pp. 10.5194/hess-28-4903-2024

Rogers, Martin S.J. , Fox, Maria , Fleming, Andrew , van Zeeland, Louisa, Wilkinson, Jeremy , Hosking, J. Scott . (2024) Sea ice detection using concurrent multispectral and synthetic aperture radar imagery. Remote Sensing of Environment, 305 (). 14 pp. 10.1016/j.rse.2024.114073

Joakimsen, Harald L., Martinsen, Iver, Luppino, Luigi T., McDonald, Andrew, Hosking, Scott , Jenssen, Robert. (2024) Interrogating Sea Ice Predictability with Gradients. IEEE Geoscience and Remote Sensing Letters, 21 (). 5 pp. 10.1109/LGRS.2024.3366308

Jay, Caroline, Yu, Yurong, Crawford, Ian, Archer-Nicholls, Scott, James, Philip, Gledson, Ann, Shaddick, Gavin, Haines, Robert, Lannelongue, Loïc, Lines, Emily, Hosking, Scott , Topping, David. (2024) Prioritize environmental sustainability in use of AI and data science methods [Comment]. Nature Geoscience, (). 3 pp. 10.1038/s41561-023-01369-y

2023

Evans, Ben , Faul, Anita , Fleming, Andrew , Vaughan, David G. , Hosking, J. Scott . (2023) Unsupervised machine learning detection of iceberg populations within sea ice from dual-polarisation SAR imagery. Remote Sensing of Environment, 297 (). 15 pp. 10.1016/j.rse.2023.113780

Parthipan, Raghul , Christensen, Hannah M., Hosking, J. Scott , Wischik, Damon J.. (2023) Using Probabilistic Machine Learning to Better Model Temporal Patterns in Parameterizations: a case study with the Lorenz 96 model. Geoscientific Model Development, 16 (). 19 pp. 10.5194/gmd-16-4501-2023

Andersson, Tom R. , Bruinsma, Wessel P., Markou, Stratis, Requeima, James, Coca-Castro, Alejandro, Vaughan, Anna, Ellis, Anna-Louise, Lazzara, Matthew A., Jones, Dani , Hosking, Scott , Turner, Richard E.. (2023) Environmental sensor placement with convolutional Gaussian neural processes. Environmental Data Science, 2 (). 16 pp. 10.1017/eds.2023.22

Bruinsma, Wessel P., Markou, Stratis, Requiema, James, Foong, Andrew Y.K., Andersson, Tom R. , Vaughan, Anna, Buonomo, Anthony, Hosking, J. Scott , Turner, Richard E.. (2023) Autoregressive Conditional Neural Processes. In: 11th International Conference on Learning Representations (ICLR 2023) Kigali, Rwanda, 1 May - 5 May 2023. .

2022

Summers, Tim, Mackie, Erik , Ueno, Risa, Simpson, Charles , Hosking, J. Scott , Suciu, Tudor, Coburn, Andrew, Shuckburgh, Emily. (2022) Localized impacts and economic implications from high temperature disruption days under climate change. Climate Resilience and Sustainability, 1 (). pp. 10.1002/cli2.35

Eastwood, Niamh, Stubbings, William A., Abou-Elwafa Abdallah, Mohamed A., Durance, Isabelle, Paavola, Jouni, Dallimer, Martin, Pantel, Jelena H., Johnson, Samuel, Zhou, Jiarui, Hosking, J. Scott , Brown, James B., Ullah, Sami, Krause, Stephan, Hannah, David M., Crawford, Sarah E., Widmann, Martin, Orsini, Luisa. (2022) The Time Machine framework: monitoring and prediction of biodiversity loss. Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 37 (). pp. 10.1016/j.tree.2021.09.008

Vaughan, Anna, Tebbutt, Will, Hosking, J. Scott , Turner, Richard E.. (2022) Convolutional conditional neural processes for local climate downscaling. Geoscientific Model Development, 15 (). pp. 10.5194/gmd-15-251-2022

2021

Simpson, Charles , Hosking, J. Scott , Mitchell, Dann, Betts, Richard A., Shuckburgh, Emily. (2021) Regional disparities and seasonal differences in climate risk to rice labour. Environmental Research Letters, 16 (). 12 pp. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac3288

Andersson, Tom R. , Hosking, J. Scott , Pérez-Ortiz, María, Paige, Brooks, Elliott, Andrew, Russell, Chris, Law, Stephen, Jones, Daniel C. , Wilkinson, Jeremy , Phillips, Tony , Byrne, James , Tietsche, Steffen, Sarojini, Beena Balan, Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, Eduardo, Aksenov, Yevgeny , Downie, Rod, Shuckburgh, Emily . (2021) Seasonal Arctic sea ice forecasting with probabilistic deep learning. Nature Communications, 12 (). 12 pp. 10.1038/s41467-021-25257-4

King, John C. , Turner, John , Colwell, Steve, Lu, Hua , Orr, Andrew , Phillips, Tony , Hosking, J. Scott , Marshall, Gareth J. . (2021) Inhomogeneity of the surface air temperature record from Halley, Antarctica. Journal of Climate, 34 (). 13 pp. 10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0748.1

Haupt, Sue Ellen, Chapman, William, Adams, Samantha V., Kirkwood, Charlie, Hosking, J. Scott , Robinson, Niall H., Lerch, Sebastian, Subramanian, Aneesh C.. (2021) Towards implementing artificial intelligence post-processing in weather and climate: Proposed actions from the Oxford 2019 workshop. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, 379 (). 21 pp. 10.1098/rsta.2020.0091

2020

Patterson, David J., Ariel, Yotam, Burks, Beth, Gratcheva, Ekaterina M., Hosking, J. Scott , Klein, Noémie, Protopopova, Lioubov, Ruiz, Efrain Eduardo Tamayo, Schmitt, Susanne, Shackelton, Bobby, Wang, Dieter, Wuebbles, Donald J.. (2020) Spatial finance: Challenges and opportunities in a changing world. Washington, DC, World Bank, 66 pp. (Equitable Growth, Finance and Institutions Insight.)

Orr, Andrew , Hosking, J. Scott , Delon, Aymeric, Hoffman, Lars, Spang, Reinhold, Moffat-Griffin, Tracy , Keeble, James, Abraham, Nathan Luke, Braesicke, Peter. (2020) Polar stratospheric clouds initiated by mountain waves in a global chemistry-climate model: A missing piece in fully modelling polar stratospheric ozone depletion. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 20 (). 15 pp. 10.5194/acp-20-12483-2020

Amos, Matt, Young, Paul J., Hosking, J. Scott , Lamarque, Jean-François, Abraham, N. Luke, Akiyoshi, Hideharu, Archibald, Alexander T., Bekki, Slimane, Deushi, Makoto, Jöckel, Patrick, Kinnison, Douglas, Kirner, Ole, Kunze, Markus, Marchand, Marion, Plummer, David A., Saint-Martin, David, Kengo, Sudo, Tilmes, Simone, Yamashita, Yousuke. (2020) Projecting ozone hole recovery using an ensemble of chemistry-climate models weighted by model performance and independence. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 20 (). pp. 10.5194/acp-20-9961-2020

Bruinsma, Wessel P, Perim, Eric, Tebbutt, Will, Hosking, J. Scott , Solin, Arno, Turner, Richard E.. (2020) Scalable exact inference in multi-output Gaussian processes. In: Daumé, Hal, Singh, Aarti (eds.). Proceedings of the 37th International Conference on Machine Learning, , PMLR, pp. (Proceedings of Machine Learning Research, ).

McCrystall, Michelle R., Hosking, J. Scott , White, Ian P., Maycock, Amanda C.. (2020) The impact of changes in tropical sea surface temperatures over 1979–2012 on northern hemisphere high-latitude climate. Journal of Climate, 33 (). 19 pp. 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0456.1

Bracegirdle, T.J. , Holmes, C.R. , Hosking, J.S. , Marshall, G.J. , Osman, M., Patterson, M., Rackow, T.. (2020) Improvements in Circumpolar Southern Hemisphere Extratropical Atmospheric Circulation in CMIP6 Compared to CMIP5. Earth and Space Science, 7 (). 12 pp. 10.1029/2019EA001065

Sengupta, Ushnish, Amos, Matt, Hosking, Scott , Rasmussen, Carl Edward, Juniper, Matthew P., Young, Paul J.. (2020) Ensembling geophysical models with Bayesian Neural Networks. Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, 33 (). 13 pp.

2019

Bannister, Daniel, Orr, Andrew , Jain, Sanjay K., Holman, Ian P., Momblanch, Andrea, Phillips, Tony , Adeloye, Adebayo J., Snapir, Boris, Waine, Toby W., Hosking, Scott , Allen-Sader, Clare. (2019) Bias correction of high-resolution regional climate model precipitation output gives the best estimates of precipitation in Himalayan catchments. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 124 (). pp. 10.1029/2019JD030804

Kapetas, L., Kazakis, N., Voudouris, K., Martinez, Alejandro Tello, Hosking, Scott . (2019) Modelling Groundwater – Surface Water Interactions Under Climate Change Scenarios: insights from Axios Delta, Greece.. In: ICONHIC 2019: 2nd International Conference on Natural Hazards & Infrastructure Chania, Greece, 23-26 June. .

Turner, John , Phillips, Tony , Thamban, Meloth, Rahaman, Waliur, Marshall, Gareth , Wille, Jonathan, Favier, Vincent, Winton, Holly , Thomas, Liz , Wang, Zhaomin, van den Broeke, Michiel, Hosking, Scott , Lachlan-Cope, Thomas . (2019) The dominant role of extreme precipitation events in Antarctic snowfall variability. Geophysical Research Letters, 46 (). pp. 10.1029/2018GL081517

2018

Deb, Pranab, Orr, Andrew , Bromwich, David H., Nicolas, Julien P., Turner, John , Hosking, J. Scott . (2018) Summer drivers of atmospheric variability affecting ice shelf thinning in the Amundsen Sea Embayment, West Antarctica. Geophysical Research Letters, 45 (). pp. 10.1029/2018GL077092

Hosking, J. Scott , MacLeod, D., Phillips, T. , Holmes, C.R. , Watson, P., Shuckburgh, E.F. , Mitchell, D.. (2018) Changes in European wind energy generation potential within a 1.5°C warmer world. Environmental Research Letters, 13 (). pp. 10.1088/1748-9326/aabf78

2017

King, John C. , Bannister, Daniel , Hosking, J. Scott , Colwell, Steve R.. (2017) Causes of the Antarctic region record high temperature at Signy Island, 30 January 1982. Atmospheric Science Letters, 18 (). pp. 10.1002/asl.793

Hosking, J. Scott , Fogt, Ryan, Thomas, Elizabeth R. , Moosavi, Vahid, Phillips, Tony , Coggins, Jack, Reusch, David. (2017) Accumulation in coastal West Antarctic ice core records and the role of cyclone activity. Geophysical Research Letters, 44 (). pp. 10.1002/2017GL074722

Bannister, Daniel, Herzog, Michael, Graf, Hans-F, Hosking, J. Scott , Short, C. Alan. (2017) An assessment of recent and future temperature change over the Sichuan Basin, China, using CMIP5 climate models. Journal of Climate, 30 (). pp. 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0536.1

Turner, John , Phillips, Tony , Marshall, Gareth J. , Hosking, J. Scott , Pope, James O. , Bracegirdle, Thomas J. , Deb, Pranab. (2017) Unprecedented springtime retreat of Antarctic sea ice in 2016. Geophysical Research Letters, 44 (). pp. 10.1002/2017GL073656

Turner, John , Hosking, J. Scott , Bracegirdle, Thomas J. , Phillips, Tony , Marshall, Gareth J. . (2017) Variability and trends in the Southern Hemisphere high latitude, quasi-stationary planetary waves. International Journal of Climatology, 35 (). pp. doi:10.1002/joc.4848

Moffat-Griffin, Tracy , Taylor, Mike J., Nakamura, Takuji, Kavanagh, Andrew J. , Hosking, J. Scott , Orr, Andrew . (2017) 3rd ANtarctic Gravity Wave Instrument Network (ANGWIN) science workshop. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 34 (). pp. doi:10.1007/s00376-016-6197-5

2016

Turner, John , Lu, Hua , White, Ian, King, John C. , Phillips, Tony , Hosking, J. Scott , Bracegirdle, Thomas J. , Marshall, Gareth J. , Mulvaney, Robert , Deb, Pranab. (2016) Absence of 21st century warming on Antarctic Peninsula consistent with natural variability. Nature, 535 (). pp. doi:10.1038/nature18645

Turner, John , Hosking, J. Scott , Marshall, Gareth J. , Phillips, Tony , Bracegirdle, Thomas J. . (2016) Antarctic sea ice increase consistent with intrinsic variability of the Amundsen Sea Low. Climate Dynamics, 46 (). pp. 10.1007/s00382-015-2708-9

Deb, Pranab, Orr, Andrew , Hosking, J. Scott , Phillips, Tony , Turner, John , Bannister, Daniel, Pope, James O. , Colwell, Steve. (2016) An assessment of the Polar Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) model representation of near-surface meteorological variables over West Antarctica. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 121 (). pp. 10.1002/2015JD024037

Hosking, J. Scott , Orr, Andrew , Bracegirdle, Thomas J. , Turner, John . (2016) Future circulation changes off West Antarctica: Sensitivity of the Amundsen Sea Low to projected anthropogenic forcing. Geophysical Research Letters, 43 (). pp. 10.1002/2015GL067143

Raphael, M.N., Marshall, G. J. , Turner, J. , Fogt, R.L., Schneider, D., Dixon, D.A., Hosking, J.S. , Jones, J.M., Hobbs, W.R.. (2016) The Amundsen Sea Low: Variability, change and impact on Antarctic climate. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97 (). pp. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00018.1

2015

Thomas, Elizabeth R. , Hosking, J. Scott , Tuckwell, Rebecca R. , Ludlow, Emily C.. (2015) Twentieth century increase in snowfall in coastal West Antarctica. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (). pp. 10.1002/2015GL065750

Turner, John , Hosking, J. Scott , Bracegirdle, Thomas J. , Marshall, Gareth J. , Phillips, Tony . (2015) Recent changes in Antarctic sea ice. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London, A, 373 (). pp. 10.1098/rsta.2014.0163

Chemel, Charles, Russo, Maria R., Hosking, J. Scott , Telford, Paul J., Pyle, John A.. (2015) Sensitivity of tropical deep convection in global models: effects of horizontal resolution, surface constraints, and 3D atmospheric nudging. Atmospheric Science Letters, 16 (). pp. 10.1002/asl2.540

Orr, A. , Hosking, J.S. , Hoffmann, L., Keeble, J., Dean, S.M., Roscoe, H.K., Abraham, N.L., Vosper, S., Braesicke, P.. (2015) Inclusion of mountain wave-induced cooling for the formation of PSCs over the Antarctic Peninsula in a chemistry-climate model. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 15 (). pp. 10.5194/acp-15-1071-2015

Hosking, J. Scott , Bannister, Daniel, Orr, Andrew , King, John , Young, Emma , Phillips, Tony . (2015) Orographic disturbances of surface winds over the shelf waters adjacent to South Georgia. Atmospheric Science Letters, 16 (). pp. doi:10.1002/asl2.519

2014

Bracegirdle, Thomas J. , Turner, John , Hosking, J. Scott , Phillips, Tony . (2014) Sources of uncertainty in projections of 21st century westerly wind changes over the Amundsen Sea, West Antarctica, in CMIP5 climate models. Climate Dynamics, 43 (). pp. 10.1007/s00382-013-2032-1

Orr, Andrew , Phillips, Tony , Webster, Stuart, Elvidge, Andy, Weeks, Mark, Hosking, Scott , Turner, John . (2014) Met Office unified model high resolution simulations of a strong wind event in Antarctica. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 140 (). pp. 10.1002/qj.2296

2013

Turner, John , Hosking, J. Scott , Phillips, Tony , Marshall, Gareth J. . (2013) Temporal and spatial evolution of the Antarctic sea ice prior to the September 2012 record maximum extent. Geophysical Research Letters, 40 (). pp. doi:10.1002/2013GL058371

Hosking, J. Scott , Orr, Andrew , Marshall, Gareth J. , Turner, John , Phillips, Tony . (2013) The influence of the Amundsen–Bellingshausen Seas low on the climate of West Antarctica and its representation in coupled climate model simulations. Journal of Climate, 26 (). pp. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00813.1

Turner, John , Phillips, Tony , Hosking, J. Scott , Marshall, Gareth J. , Orr, Andrew . (2013) The Amundsen Sea low. International Journal of Climatology, 33 (). pp. doi:10.1002/joc.3558

Barrand, N.E., Vaughan, D.G. , Steiner, N., Tedesco, M., Kuipers Munneke, P., van den Broeke, M.R., Hosking, J.S. . (2013) Trends in Antarctic Peninsula surface melting conditions from observations and regional climate modelling. Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface, 118 (). pp. doi:10.1029/2012JF002559

Turner, John , Bracegirdle, Thomas J. , Phillips, Tony , Marshall, Gareth J. , Hosking, J. Scott . (2013) An initial assessment of Antarctic Sea ice extent in the CMIP5 models. Journal of Climate, 26 (). pp. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00068.1

Orr, Andrew , Bracegirdle, Thomas J. , Hosking, J. Scott , Feng, Wuhu, Roscoe, Howard K., Haigh, Joanna D.. (2013) Strong dynamical modulation of the cooling of the polar stratosphere associated with the Antarctic ozone hole. Journal of Climate, 26 (). pp. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00480.1

2012

Orr, Andrew , Bracegirdle, Thomas J. , Hosking, J. Scott , Jung, Thomas, Haigh, Joanna D., Phillips, Tony , Feng, Wuhu. (2012) Possible dynamical mechanisms for Southern Hemisphere climate change due to the ozone hole. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 69 (). pp. 10.1175/JAS-D-11-0210.1

Hosking, J.S. , Russo, M. R., Braesicke, P., Pyle, J. A.. (2012) Tropical convective transport and the Walker circulation. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 12 (). pp. doi:10.5194/acp-12-9791-2012