Scott Hosking

Global Climate Modeller

Scott Hosking

Contact

Scott Hosking

Biography

Scott Hosking is a senior climate scientist at the British Antarctic Survey.  His research involves using AI and machine learning techniques on vast and various datasets, including the output from global climate models and weather stations.  The primary aims of Scott’s work are to identify and understand the key mechanisms that drive year-to-year climate variability over vulnerable regions, the changes in frequency and strength of extreme weather events, and to reduce uncertainties in future climate predictions.

 

Scott is a member of the BAS Atmosphere, Ice and Climate team and leads projects within the Data Science Group

 

Publications  |  GitHub  |  Amundsen Sea Low index  |  Scholar  |  ORCID

 

PhD Students

  • Risa Ueno (BAS/Univ. Cambridge, CASE with Max Fordham), 2018-
    • Machine learning for assessing urban climate extremes and energy usage
  • Robert Edwin Rouse (Univ. Cambridge), 2018-
    • Machine learning approaches to assessing future flood risk in megacities
  • Will Tebbutt (Univ. Cambridge), 2017-
    • Developing Bayesian Machine Learning tools for the calibration of climate model ensembles
  • Matt Amos (Univ. Lancaster), 2017-
    • Detecting signals of long-range transport over high southern latitudes
  • Murk Komal (Univ. Sheffield), 2018-
    • Drivers of Arctic climate change and browning events

Past members
Daniel Bannister (Post-Doc, 2015-18, now Scientist at Satavia); Michelle McCrystall (PhD BAS/Cambridge, 2014-17, now post-doc at Exeter University); Daniel Popa-Christobal (Summer REP Intern, 2018);
 

Research interests

  • Machine Learning in environmental sciences
  • Extreme weather events and their impact on supply chains and infrastructure
  • Weather and climate signals in high-resolution ice core records
  • Atmospheric teleconnections between the tropics and the polar regions

Collaborations

  • Half a degree Additional warming, Prognosis and Projected Impacts (HAPPI)
    • Multiple international partners
  • “Machine Learning techniques for climate projection”
    • External partners: Department of Engineering, University of Cambridge (UK)
  • EPSRC Institutional Grant “Climate risk assessment of supply chains to support resilience-building”
    • External partners: Computer Laboratory, University of Cambridge (UK)
  • NERC Large Grant “Ice shelves in a warming world: Filchner Ice Shelf system, Antarctica”
    • External partners: University College London, University of Exeter, National Oceanography Centre and Met Office (UK) and Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar & Marine Research (Germany)

Selected Publications

 

Publications from NERC Open Research Archive

2018

Deb, Pranab, Orr, Andrew, Bromwich, David H., Nicolas, Julien P., Turner, John, Hosking, J. Scott. (2018) Summer drivers of atmospheric variability affecting ice shelf thinning in the Amundsen Sea Embayment, West Antarctica. Geophysical Research Letters, 45. 4124-4133. 10.1029/2018GL077092

Hosking, J. Scott, MacLeod, D., Phillips, T., Holmes, C.R., Watson, P., Shuckburgh, E.F., Mitchell, D.. (2018) Changes in European wind energy generation potential within a 1.5°C warmer world. Environmental Research Letters, 13. 10.1088/1748-9326/aabf78

2017

King, John C., Bannister, Daniel, Hosking, J. Scott, Colwell, Steve R.. (2017) Causes of the Antarctic region record high temperature at Signy Island, 30 January 1982. Atmospheric Science Letters, 18. 491-496. 10.1002/asl.793

Hosking, J. Scott, Fogt, Ryan, Thomas, Elizabeth R., Moosavi, Vahid, Phillips, Tony, Coggins, Jack, Reusch, David. (2017) Accumulation in coastal West Antarctic ice core records and the role of cyclone activity. Geophysical Research Letters, 44. 9084-9092. 10.1002/2017GL074722

Bannister, Daniel, Herzog, Michael, Graf, Hans-F, Hosking, J. Scott, Short, C. Alan. (2017) An assessment of recent and future temperature change over the Sichuan Basin, China, using CMIP5 climate models. Journal of Climate, 30. 6701-6722. 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0536.1

Turner, John, Phillips, Tony, Marshall, Gareth J., Hosking, J. Scott, Pope, James O., Bracegirdle, Thomas J., Deb, Pranab. (2017) Unprecedented springtime retreat of Antarctic sea ice in 2016. Geophysical Research Letters, 44. 6868-6875. 10.1002/2017GL073656

Turner, John, Hosking, J. Scott, Bracegirdle, Thomas J., Phillips, Tony, Marshall, Gareth J.. (2017) Variability and trends in the Southern Hemisphere high latitude, quasi-stationary planetary waves. International Journal of Climatology, 35. 2325-2336. doi:10.1002/joc.4848

Moffat-Griffin, Tracy, Taylor, Mike J., Nakamura, Takuji, Kavanagh, Andrew J., Hosking, J. Scott, Orr, Andrew. (2017) 3rd ANtarctic Gravity Wave Instrument Network (ANGWIN) science workshop. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 34. 1-3. doi:10.1007/s00376-016-6197-5

2016

Turner, John, Lu, Hua, White, Ian, King, John C., Phillips, Tony, Hosking, J. Scott, Bracegirdle, Thomas J., Marshall, Gareth J., Mulvaney, Robert, Deb, Pranab. (2016) Absence of 21st century warming on Antarctic Peninsula consistent with natural variability. Nature, 535. 411-415. doi:10.1038/nature18645

Turner, John, Hosking, J. Scott, Marshall, Gareth J., Phillips, Tony, Bracegirdle, Thomas J.. (2016) Antarctic sea ice increase consistent with intrinsic variability of the Amundsen Sea Low. Climate Dynamics, 46. 2391-2402. 10.1007/s00382-015-2708-9

Deb, Pranab, Orr, Andrew, Hosking, J. Scott, Phillips, Tony, Turner, John, Bannister, Daniel, Pope, James O., Colwell, Steve. (2016) An assessment of the Polar Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) model representation of near-surface meteorological variables over West Antarctica. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 121. 1532-1548. 10.1002/2015JD024037

Hosking, J. Scott, Orr, Andrew, Bracegirdle, Thomas J., Turner, John. (2016) Future circulation changes off West Antarctica: Sensitivity of the Amundsen Sea Low to projected anthropogenic forcing. Geophysical Research Letters, 43. 367-376. 10.1002/2015GL067143

Raphael, M.N., Marshall, G. J., Turner, J., Fogt, R.L., Schneider, D., Dixon, D.A., Hosking, J.S., Jones, J.M., Hobbs, W.R.. (2016) The Amundsen Sea Low: Variability, change and impact on Antarctic climate. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97. 111-121. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00018.1

2015

Thomas, Elizabeth R., Hosking, J. Scott, Tuckwell, Rebecca R., Ludlow, Emily C.. (2015) Twentieth century increase in snowfall in coastal West Antarctica. Geophysical Research Letters, 42. 9387-9393. 10.1002/2015GL065750

Turner, John, Hosking, J. Scott, Bracegirdle, Thomas J., Marshall, Gareth J., Phillips, Tony. (2015) Recent changes in Antarctic sea ice. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London, A, 373. 10.1098/rsta.2014.0163

Chemel, Charles, Russo, Maria R., Hosking, J. Scott, Telford, Paul J., Pyle, John A.. (2015) Sensitivity of tropical deep convection in global models: effects of horizontal resolution, surface constraints, and 3D atmospheric nudging. Atmospheric Science Letters, 16. 148-154. 10.1002/asl2.540

Orr, A., Hosking, J.S., Hoffmann, L., Keeble, J., Dean, S.M., Roscoe, H.K., Abraham, N.L., Vosper, S., Braesicke, P.. (2015) Inclusion of mountain wave-induced cooling for the formation of PSCs over the Antarctic Peninsula in a chemistry-climate model. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 15. 1071-1086. 10.5194/acp-15-1071-2015

Hosking, J. Scott, Bannister, Daniel, Orr, Andrew, King, John, Young, Emma, Phillips, Tony. (2015) Orographic disturbances of surface winds over the shelf waters adjacent to South Georgia. Atmospheric Science Letters, 16. 50-55. doi:10.1002/asl2.519

2014

Orr, Andrew, Phillips, Tony, Webster, Stuart, Elvidge, Andy, Weeks, Mark, Hosking, Scott, Turner, John. (2014) Met Office unified model high resolution simulations of a strong wind event in Antarctica. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 140. 2287-2297. 10.1002/qj.2296

Bracegirdle, Thomas J., Turner, John, Hosking, J. Scott, Phillips, Tony. (2014) Sources of uncertainty in projections of 21st century westerly wind changes over the Amundsen Sea, West Antarctica, in CMIP5 climate models. Climate Dynamics, 43. 2093-2104. 10.1007/s00382-013-2032-1

2013

Turner, John, Hosking, J. Scott, Phillips, Tony, Marshall, Gareth J.. (2013) Temporal and spatial evolution of the Antarctic sea ice prior to the September 2012 record maximum extent. Geophysical Research Letters, 40. 5894-5898. doi:10.1002/2013GL058371

Hosking, J. Scott, Orr, Andrew, Marshall, Gareth J., Turner, John, Phillips, Tony. (2013) The influence of the Amundsen–Bellingshausen Seas low on the climate of West Antarctica and its representation in coupled climate model simulations. Journal of Climate, 26. 6633-6648. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00813.1

Turner, John, Phillips, Tony, Hosking, J. Scott, Marshall, Gareth J., Orr, Andrew. (2013) The Amundsen Sea low. International Journal of Climatology, 33. 1818-1829. doi:10.1002/joc.3558

Turner, John, Bracegirdle, Thomas J., Phillips, Tony, Marshall, Gareth J., Hosking, J. Scott. (2013) An initial assessment of Antarctic Sea ice extent in the CMIP5 models. Journal of Climate, 26. 1473-1484. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00068.1

Barrand, N.E., Vaughan, D.G., Steiner, N., Tedesco, M., Kuipers Munneke, P., van den Broeke, M.R., Hosking, J.S.. (2013) Trends in Antarctic Peninsula surface melting conditions from observations and regional climate modelling. Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface, 118. 315-330. doi:10.1029/2012JF002559

Orr, Andrew, Bracegirdle, Thomas J., Hosking, J. Scott, Feng, Wuhu, Roscoe, Howard K., Haigh, Joanna D.. (2013) Strong dynamical modulation of the cooling of the polar stratosphere associated with the Antarctic ozone hole. Journal of Climate, 26. 662-668. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00480.1

2012

Orr, Andrew, Bracegirdle, Thomas J., Hosking, J. Scott, Jung, Thomas, Haigh, Joanna D., Phillips, Tony, Feng, Wuhu. (2012) Possible dynamical mechanisms for Southern Hemisphere climate change due to the ozone hole. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 69. 2917-2932. 10.1175/JAS-D-11-0210.1

Hosking, J.S., Russo, M. R., Braesicke, P., Pyle, J. A.. (2012) Tropical convective transport and the Walker circulation. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 12. 9791-9797. doi:10.5194/acp-12-9791-2012

Projects

  • NERC Large Grant, 2015-2020
  • NERC National Capability Overseas Development Assistance, 2017-2020
    • “Polar expertise wherever it can be applied”
  • EPSRC Institutional Grant (Led by Cambridge University), 2016-2017
    • “Climate risk assessment of supply chains to support resilience-building“