Full publication list available here

Publications from NERC Open Research Archive

2022

Summers, Tim, Mackie, Erik ORCID record for Erik Mackie, Ueno, Risa, Simpson, Charles ORCID record for Charles Simpson, Hosking, J. Scott ORCID record for J. Scott Hosking, Suciu, Tudor, Coburn, Andrew, Shuckburgh, Emily. (2022) Localized impacts and economic implications from high temperature disruption days under climate change. Climate Resilience and Sustainability, 1. 10.1002/cli2.35

Eastwood, Niamh, Stubbings, William A., Abou-Elwafa Abdallah, Mohamed A., Durance, Isabelle, Paavola, Jouni, Dallimer, Martin, Pantel, Jelena H., Johnson, Samuel, Zhou, Jiarui, Hosking, J. Scott ORCID record for J. Scott Hosking, Brown, James B., Ullah, Sami, Krause, Stephan, Hannah, David M., Crawford, Sarah E., Widmann, Martin, Orsini, Luisa. (2022) The Time Machine framework: monitoring and prediction of biodiversity loss. Trends in Ecology & Evolution, 37. 138-146. 10.1016/j.tree.2021.09.008

Vaughan, Anna, Tebbutt, Will, Hosking, J. Scott ORCID record for J. Scott Hosking, Turner, Richard E.. (2022) Convolutional conditional neural processes for local climate downscaling. Geoscientific Model Development, 15. 251-268. 10.5194/gmd-15-251-2022

2021

Simpson, Charles ORCID record for Charles Simpson, Hosking, J. Scott ORCID record for J. Scott Hosking, Mitchell, Dann, Betts, Richard A., Shuckburgh, Emily. (2021) Regional disparities and seasonal differences in climate risk to rice labour. Environmental Research Letters, 16. 12 pp. 10.1088/1748-9326/ac3288

Andersson, Tom R. ORCID record for Tom R. Andersson, Hosking, J. Scott ORCID record for J. Scott Hosking, Pérez-Ortiz, María, Paige, Brooks, Elliott, Andrew, Russell, Chris, Law, Stephen, Jones, Daniel C. ORCID record for Daniel C. Jones, Wilkinson, Jeremy, Phillips, Tony ORCID record for Tony Phillips, Byrne, James ORCID record for James Byrne, Tietsche, Steffen, Sarojini, Beena Balan, Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, Eduardo, Aksenov, Yevgeny ORCID record for Yevgeny Aksenov, Downie, Rod, Shuckburgh, Emily ORCID record for Emily Shuckburgh. (2021) Seasonal Arctic sea ice forecasting with probabilistic deep learning. Nature Communications, 12. 12 pp. 10.1038/s41467-021-25257-4

King, John C. ORCID record for John C. King, Turner, John ORCID record for John Turner, Colwell, Steve, Lu, Hua ORCID record for Hua Lu, Orr, Andrew ORCID record for Andrew Orr, Phillips, Tony ORCID record for Tony Phillips, Hosking, J. Scott ORCID record for J. Scott Hosking, Marshall, Gareth J. ORCID record for Gareth J. Marshall. (2021) Inhomogeneity of the surface air temperature record from Halley, Antarctica. Journal of Climate, 34. 13 pp. 10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0748.1

Haupt, Sue Ellen, Chapman, William, Adams, Samantha V., Kirkwood, Charlie, Hosking, J. Scott ORCID record for J. Scott Hosking, Robinson, Niall H., Lerch, Sebastian, Subramanian, Aneesh C.. (2021) Towards implementing artificial intelligence post-processing in weather and climate: Proposed actions from the Oxford 2019 workshop. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, 379. 21 pp. 10.1098/rsta.2020.0091

2020

Patterson, David J., Ariel, Yotam, Burks, Beth, Gratcheva, Ekaterina M., Hosking, J. Scott ORCID record for J. Scott Hosking, Klein, Noémie, Protopopova, Lioubov, Ruiz, Efrain Eduardo Tamayo, Schmitt, Susanne, Shackelton, Bobby, Wang, Dieter, Wuebbles, Donald J.. (2020) Spatial finance: Challenges and opportunities in a changing world. Washington, DC, World Bank, 66 pp. (Equitable Growth, Finance and Institutions Insight.)

Orr, Andrew ORCID record for Andrew Orr, Hosking, J. Scott ORCID record for J. Scott Hosking, Delon, Aymeric, Hoffman, Lars, Spang, Reinhold, Moffat-Griffin, Tracy ORCID record for Tracy Moffat-Griffin, Keeble, James, Abraham, Nathan Luke, Braesicke, Peter. (2020) Polar stratospheric clouds initiated by mountain waves in a global chemistry-climate model: A missing piece in fully modelling polar stratospheric ozone depletion. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 20. 15 pp. 10.5194/acp-20-12483-2020

Amos, Matt, Young, Paul J., Hosking, J. Scott ORCID record for J. Scott Hosking, Lamarque, Jean-François, Abraham, N. Luke, Akiyoshi, Hideharu, Archibald, Alexander T., Bekki, Slimane, Deushi, Makoto, Jöckel, Patrick, Kinnison, Douglas, Kirner, Ole, Kunze, Markus, Marchand, Marion, Plummer, David A., Saint-Martin, David, Kengo, Sudo, Tilmes, Simone, Yamashita, Yousuke. (2020) Projecting ozone hole recovery using an ensemble of chemistry-climate models weighted by model performance and independence. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 20. 9961-9977. 10.5194/acp-20-9961-2020

Bruinsma, Wessel P, Perim, Eric, Tebbutt, Will, Hosking, J. Scott ORCID record for J. Scott Hosking, Solin, Arno, Turner, Richard E.. (2020) Scalable exact inference in multi-output Gaussian processes. In: Proceedings of the 37th International Conference on Machine Learning, PMLR, 1190-1201. (Proceedings of Machine Learning Research, ).

Bracegirdle, T.J. ORCID record for T.J. Bracegirdle, Holmes, C.R. ORCID record for C.R. Holmes, Hosking, J.S. ORCID record for J.S. Hosking, Marshall, G.J. ORCID record for G.J. Marshall, Osman, M., Patterson, M., Rackow, T.. (2020) Improvements in Circumpolar Southern Hemisphere Extratropical Atmospheric Circulation in CMIP6 Compared to CMIP5. Earth and Space Science, 7. 12 pp. 10.1029/2019EA001065

McCrystall, Michelle R., Hosking, J. Scott ORCID record for J. Scott Hosking, White, Ian P., Maycock, Amanda C.. (2020) The impact of changes in tropical sea surface temperatures over 1979–2012 on northern hemisphere high-latitude climate. Journal of Climate, 33. 19 pp. 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0456.1

Sengupta, Ushnish, Amos, Matt, Hosking, Scott ORCID record for Scott Hosking, Rasmussen, Carl Edward, Juniper, Matthew P., Young, Paul J.. (2020) Ensembling geophysical models with Bayesian Neural Networks. Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, 33. 13 pp.

2019

Bannister, Daniel, Orr, Andrew ORCID record for Andrew Orr, Jain, Sanjay K., Holman, Ian P., Momblanch, Andrea, Phillips, Tony ORCID record for Tony Phillips, Adeloye, Adebayo J., Snapir, Boris, Waine, Toby W., Hosking, Scott ORCID record for Scott Hosking, Allen-Sader, Clare. (2019) Bias correction of high-resolution regional climate model precipitation output gives the best estimates of precipitation in Himalayan catchments. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 124. 20 pp. 10.1029/2019JD030804

Kapetas, L., Kazakis, N., Voudouris, K., Martinez, Alejandro Tello, Hosking, Scott ORCID record for Scott Hosking. (2019) Modelling Groundwater – Surface Water Interactions Under Climate Change Scenarios: insights from Axios Delta, Greece.. In: ICONHIC 2019: 2nd International Conference on Natural Hazards & Infrastructure Chania, Greece, 23-26 June.

Turner, John ORCID record for John Turner, Phillips, Tony ORCID record for Tony Phillips, Thamban, Meloth, Rahaman, Waliur, Marshall, Gareth ORCID record for Gareth Marshall, Wille, Jonathan, Favier, Vincent, Winton, Holly ORCID record for Holly Winton, Thomas, Liz ORCID record for Liz Thomas, Wang, Zhaomin, van den Broeke, Michiel, Hosking, Scott ORCID record for Scott Hosking, Lachlan-Cope, Thomas ORCID record for Thomas Lachlan-Cope. (2019) The dominant role of extreme precipitation events in Antarctic snowfall variability. Geophysical Research Letters, 46. 3502-3511. 10.1029/2018GL081517

2018

Deb, Pranab, Orr, Andrew ORCID record for Andrew Orr, Bromwich, David H., Nicolas, Julien P., Turner, John ORCID record for John Turner, Hosking, J. Scott ORCID record for J. Scott Hosking. (2018) Summer drivers of atmospheric variability affecting ice shelf thinning in the Amundsen Sea Embayment, West Antarctica. Geophysical Research Letters, 45. 4124-4133. 10.1029/2018GL077092

Hosking, J. Scott ORCID record for J. Scott Hosking, MacLeod, D., Phillips, T. ORCID record for T. Phillips, Holmes, C.R. ORCID record for C.R. Holmes, Watson, P., Shuckburgh, E.F. ORCID record for E.F. Shuckburgh, Mitchell, D.. (2018) Changes in European wind energy generation potential within a 1.5°C warmer world. Environmental Research Letters, 13. 10.1088/1748-9326/aabf78

2017

King, John C. ORCID record for John C. King, Bannister, Daniel ORCID record for Daniel Bannister, Hosking, J. Scott ORCID record for J. Scott Hosking, Colwell, Steve R.. (2017) Causes of the Antarctic region record high temperature at Signy Island, 30 January 1982. Atmospheric Science Letters, 18. 491-496. 10.1002/asl.793

Hosking, J. Scott ORCID record for J. Scott Hosking, Fogt, Ryan, Thomas, Elizabeth R. ORCID record for Elizabeth R. Thomas, Moosavi, Vahid, Phillips, Tony ORCID record for Tony Phillips, Coggins, Jack, Reusch, David. (2017) Accumulation in coastal West Antarctic ice core records and the role of cyclone activity. Geophysical Research Letters, 44. 9084-9092. 10.1002/2017GL074722

Bannister, Daniel, Herzog, Michael, Graf, Hans-F, Hosking, J. Scott ORCID record for J. Scott Hosking, Short, C. Alan. (2017) An assessment of recent and future temperature change over the Sichuan Basin, China, using CMIP5 climate models. Journal of Climate, 30. 6701-6722. 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0536.1

Turner, John ORCID record for John Turner, Phillips, Tony ORCID record for Tony Phillips, Marshall, Gareth J. ORCID record for Gareth J. Marshall, Hosking, J. Scott ORCID record for J. Scott Hosking, Pope, James O. ORCID record for James O. Pope, Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID record for Thomas J. Bracegirdle, Deb, Pranab. (2017) Unprecedented springtime retreat of Antarctic sea ice in 2016. Geophysical Research Letters, 44. 6868-6875. 10.1002/2017GL073656

Turner, John ORCID record for John Turner, Hosking, J. Scott ORCID record for J. Scott Hosking, Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID record for Thomas J. Bracegirdle, Phillips, Tony ORCID record for Tony Phillips, Marshall, Gareth J. ORCID record for Gareth J. Marshall. (2017) Variability and trends in the Southern Hemisphere high latitude, quasi-stationary planetary waves. International Journal of Climatology, 35. 2325-2336. doi:10.1002/joc.4848

Moffat-Griffin, Tracy ORCID record for Tracy Moffat-Griffin, Taylor, Mike J., Nakamura, Takuji, Kavanagh, Andrew J. ORCID record for Andrew J. Kavanagh, Hosking, J. Scott ORCID record for J. Scott Hosking, Orr, Andrew ORCID record for Andrew Orr. (2017) 3rd ANtarctic Gravity Wave Instrument Network (ANGWIN) science workshop. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 34. 1-3. doi:10.1007/s00376-016-6197-5

2016

Turner, John ORCID record for John Turner, Lu, Hua ORCID record for Hua Lu, White, Ian, King, John C. ORCID record for John C. King, Phillips, Tony ORCID record for Tony Phillips, Hosking, J. Scott ORCID record for J. Scott Hosking, Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID record for Thomas J. Bracegirdle, Marshall, Gareth J. ORCID record for Gareth J. Marshall, Mulvaney, Robert ORCID record for Robert Mulvaney, Deb, Pranab. (2016) Absence of 21st century warming on Antarctic Peninsula consistent with natural variability. Nature, 535. 411-415. doi:10.1038/nature18645

Turner, John ORCID record for John Turner, Hosking, J. Scott ORCID record for J. Scott Hosking, Marshall, Gareth J. ORCID record for Gareth J. Marshall, Phillips, Tony ORCID record for Tony Phillips, Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID record for Thomas J. Bracegirdle. (2016) Antarctic sea ice increase consistent with intrinsic variability of the Amundsen Sea Low. Climate Dynamics, 46. 2391-2402. 10.1007/s00382-015-2708-9

Deb, Pranab, Orr, Andrew ORCID record for Andrew Orr, Hosking, J. Scott ORCID record for J. Scott Hosking, Phillips, Tony ORCID record for Tony Phillips, Turner, John ORCID record for John Turner, Bannister, Daniel, Pope, James O. ORCID record for James O. Pope, Colwell, Steve. (2016) An assessment of the Polar Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) model representation of near-surface meteorological variables over West Antarctica. Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 121. 1532-1548. 10.1002/2015JD024037

Hosking, J. Scott ORCID record for J. Scott Hosking, Orr, Andrew ORCID record for Andrew Orr, Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID record for Thomas J. Bracegirdle, Turner, John ORCID record for John Turner. (2016) Future circulation changes off West Antarctica: Sensitivity of the Amundsen Sea Low to projected anthropogenic forcing. Geophysical Research Letters, 43. 367-376. 10.1002/2015GL067143

Raphael, M.N., Marshall, G. J. ORCID record for G. J. Marshall, Turner, J. ORCID record for J. Turner, Fogt, R.L., Schneider, D., Dixon, D.A., Hosking, J.S. ORCID record for J.S. Hosking, Jones, J.M., Hobbs, W.R.. (2016) The Amundsen Sea Low: Variability, change and impact on Antarctic climate. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97. 111-121. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00018.1

2015

Thomas, Elizabeth R. ORCID record for Elizabeth R. Thomas, Hosking, J. Scott ORCID record for J. Scott Hosking, Tuckwell, Rebecca R. ORCID record for Rebecca R. Tuckwell, Ludlow, Emily C.. (2015) Twentieth century increase in snowfall in coastal West Antarctica. Geophysical Research Letters, 42. 9387-9393. 10.1002/2015GL065750

Turner, John ORCID record for John Turner, Hosking, J. Scott ORCID record for J. Scott Hosking, Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID record for Thomas J. Bracegirdle, Marshall, Gareth J. ORCID record for Gareth J. Marshall, Phillips, Tony ORCID record for Tony Phillips. (2015) Recent changes in Antarctic sea ice. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London, A, 373. 10.1098/rsta.2014.0163

Chemel, Charles, Russo, Maria R., Hosking, J. Scott ORCID record for J. Scott Hosking, Telford, Paul J., Pyle, John A.. (2015) Sensitivity of tropical deep convection in global models: effects of horizontal resolution, surface constraints, and 3D atmospheric nudging. Atmospheric Science Letters, 16. 148-154. 10.1002/asl2.540

Orr, A. ORCID record for A. Orr, Hosking, J.S. ORCID record for J.S. Hosking, Hoffmann, L., Keeble, J., Dean, S.M., Roscoe, H.K., Abraham, N.L., Vosper, S., Braesicke, P.. (2015) Inclusion of mountain wave-induced cooling for the formation of PSCs over the Antarctic Peninsula in a chemistry-climate model. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 15. 1071-1086. 10.5194/acp-15-1071-2015

Hosking, J. Scott ORCID record for J. Scott Hosking, Bannister, Daniel, Orr, Andrew ORCID record for Andrew Orr, King, John ORCID record for John King, Young, Emma ORCID record for Emma Young, Phillips, Tony ORCID record for Tony Phillips. (2015) Orographic disturbances of surface winds over the shelf waters adjacent to South Georgia. Atmospheric Science Letters, 16. 50-55. doi:10.1002/asl2.519

2014

Orr, Andrew ORCID record for Andrew Orr, Phillips, Tony ORCID record for Tony Phillips, Webster, Stuart, Elvidge, Andy, Weeks, Mark, Hosking, Scott ORCID record for Scott Hosking, Turner, John ORCID record for John Turner. (2014) Met Office unified model high resolution simulations of a strong wind event in Antarctica. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 140. 2287-2297. 10.1002/qj.2296

Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID record for Thomas J. Bracegirdle, Turner, John ORCID record for John Turner, Hosking, J. Scott ORCID record for J. Scott Hosking, Phillips, Tony ORCID record for Tony Phillips. (2014) Sources of uncertainty in projections of 21st century westerly wind changes over the Amundsen Sea, West Antarctica, in CMIP5 climate models. Climate Dynamics, 43. 2093-2104. 10.1007/s00382-013-2032-1

2013

Turner, John ORCID record for John Turner, Hosking, J. Scott ORCID record for J. Scott Hosking, Phillips, Tony ORCID record for Tony Phillips, Marshall, Gareth J. ORCID record for Gareth J. Marshall. (2013) Temporal and spatial evolution of the Antarctic sea ice prior to the September 2012 record maximum extent. Geophysical Research Letters, 40. 5894-5898. doi:10.1002/2013GL058371

Hosking, J. Scott ORCID record for J. Scott Hosking, Orr, Andrew ORCID record for Andrew Orr, Marshall, Gareth J. ORCID record for Gareth J. Marshall, Turner, John ORCID record for John Turner, Phillips, Tony ORCID record for Tony Phillips. (2013) The influence of the Amundsen–Bellingshausen Seas low on the climate of West Antarctica and its representation in coupled climate model simulations. Journal of Climate, 26. 6633-6648. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00813.1

Turner, John ORCID record for John Turner, Phillips, Tony ORCID record for Tony Phillips, Hosking, J. Scott ORCID record for J. Scott Hosking, Marshall, Gareth J. ORCID record for Gareth J. Marshall, Orr, Andrew ORCID record for Andrew Orr. (2013) The Amundsen Sea low. International Journal of Climatology, 33. 1818-1829. doi:10.1002/joc.3558

Turner, John ORCID record for John Turner, Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID record for Thomas J. Bracegirdle, Phillips, Tony ORCID record for Tony Phillips, Marshall, Gareth J. ORCID record for Gareth J. Marshall, Hosking, J. Scott ORCID record for J. Scott Hosking. (2013) An initial assessment of Antarctic Sea ice extent in the CMIP5 models. Journal of Climate, 26. 1473-1484. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00068.1

Barrand, N.E., Vaughan, D.G. ORCID record for D.G. Vaughan, Steiner, N., Tedesco, M., Kuipers Munneke, P., van den Broeke, M.R., Hosking, J.S. ORCID record for J.S. Hosking. (2013) Trends in Antarctic Peninsula surface melting conditions from observations and regional climate modelling. Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface, 118. 315-330. doi:10.1029/2012JF002559

Orr, Andrew ORCID record for Andrew Orr, Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID record for Thomas J. Bracegirdle, Hosking, J. Scott ORCID record for J. Scott Hosking, Feng, Wuhu, Roscoe, Howard K., Haigh, Joanna D.. (2013) Strong dynamical modulation of the cooling of the polar stratosphere associated with the Antarctic ozone hole. Journal of Climate, 26. 662-668. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00480.1

2012

Orr, Andrew ORCID record for Andrew Orr, Bracegirdle, Thomas J. ORCID record for Thomas J. Bracegirdle, Hosking, J. Scott ORCID record for J. Scott Hosking, Jung, Thomas, Haigh, Joanna D., Phillips, Tony ORCID record for Tony Phillips, Feng, Wuhu. (2012) Possible dynamical mechanisms for Southern Hemisphere climate change due to the ozone hole. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 69. 2917-2932. 10.1175/JAS-D-11-0210.1

Hosking, J.S. ORCID record for J.S. Hosking, Russo, M. R., Braesicke, P., Pyle, J. A.. (2012) Tropical convective transport and the Walker circulation. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 12. 9791-9797. doi:10.5194/acp-12-9791-2012

• SURFEIT
• Digital Twin of the Polar Regions
• IceNet
• AI4EOAccelerator
• Water Resources of the Upper Indus Basin
• National Capability for Global Challenges
• ACSIS
• Cambridge Centre for Climate Science
• Filchner Ice Shelf System, Antarctica

More details on projects can be found here

2021

Innovative Research Sprints Tackle Challenges in Biodiversity and Exposure
Blog 11 May, 2021

2020

Earth Day 2020: A new age of Arctic science discovery – the AI way
Blog 24 April, 2020

2019

Official launch of the BAS AI Lab!
Blog 4 December, 2019

AI Lab presents at the First Artificial Intelligence for Copernicus Workshop
Blog 22 November, 2019

AI for Environmental Sciences
Blog 21 July, 2019

Data Study Group: Automated monitoring of seals via high-resolution satellite imagery
Blog 8 April, 2019

2017

Automated clustering of storm tracks for interpreting ice core records
Blog 22 August, 2017

How can machine learning techniques improve our understanding of climate change risks in the future?
Blog 22 February, 2017

2021

Artificial intelligence to help predict Arctic sea ice loss
News 26 August, 2021

2020

Knowledge Snack: Digital Twins of infrastructure and the environment
Event 11 November, 2020

Climate scientists help businesses tackle climate change
News 26 February, 2020

2019

Antarctic snowfall dominated by a few extreme snowstorms
News 25 March, 2019

Using AI to help tackle global environmental challenges
News 26 February, 2019

2018

European wind energy generation potential in a 1.5˚C world
News 17 May, 2018

Pint of Science – Big Data and Scientific Research
Event 14 May, 2018

FEATURED PAPER: Record temperature at Signy
News 19 February, 2018

2017

FEATURED PAPER: Temperature change in Sichuan
News 13 November, 2017

Storms caused massive Antarctic sea ice loss in 2016
News 23 June, 2017

2016

A recent pause in Antarctic Peninsula warming
News 20 July, 2016

FEATURED PAPER: Circulation changes off West Antarctica
News 17 March, 2016

2015

FEATURED PAPER: Recent snowfall increase
News 16 December, 2015

PRESS RELEASE: West Antarctica snow accumulation
News 4 November, 2015